EL NINO: Is Merseyside in for the coldest winter in 50 years ?

Heswall by Andrew Roe

Heswall by Andrew Roe

You may have noticed a lot of talk in the media about the coldest winter in 50 years will hit the UK this winter, due to something called the El Nino.

El Nino is an event that takes place when warm water in the Pacific Ocean around south-east Asia moves towards the coast of South America, bringing dramatic changes in weather patterns around the globe.

El Nino pattern

El Nino drives warmer water

This can bring torrential rain in Mexico and Ecuador causing the potential for widespread flooding and landslides, whilst normally wet areas of southeast Asia are left at risk from significant drought.

El nino can lead to drought

El nino can lead to drought

Although the UK isn’t directly impacted, some climate changes do have a ‘knock on’ effect for us.

El Nino can slightly increase the prospect of snow in the UK and is said by some to have contributed to the coldest winter since records began in 2009/2010.

However, it’s still far too early for a guess on the detail of the coming winter, so it remains that even this years El Niño can only slightly change the risk of extreme UK weather, and it’s not expected to be the dominant driver of our weather this winter.

Weather experts say an extremely harsh winter due to the developing strong El Niño is considered as small.

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